On October 6, 2015, SPA’s Keith Porter spoke at SEAONC’s October Dinner Meeting, presenting a talk entitled Lessons of the HayWired Scenario: Performance of New Buildings, Public Expectations, and 3-D Ground-Motion Maps. He made the case that (1) current life-safety design objectives will lead to a severely impaired building stock in large but not exceedingly rare urban earthquakes; (2) the public expects and is willing to pay for better performance; (3) 50% stronger buildings can meet a 95% shelter-in-place objective for about 1% more cost; and (4) stronger design might be highly cost-effective.
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