Table of Contents

Business continuity, risk mitigation, loss estimation, and performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE)

Fire following earthquake

Fragility and vulnerability of buildings

Fragility and vulnerability of lifelines

  • Groundproofing a new model for estimating earthquake damage and planning recovery
    Porter, K.A., 2018. Groundproofing a new model for estimating earthquake damage and planning recovery. Source, 32 (2), p. 40-43, www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-2018-AWWA-Source.pdf Porter, K.A., McMullin, R., Terentieff, S.V., Wollbrinck, J., and Irias, X., 2018. Applying the model. Source, 32 (2), p. 43-45, www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-2018-AWWA-Source.pdf
    Citation
  • A new model of water-network resilience, with application to the HayWired scenario
    Porter, K.A., 2018. A new model of water-network resilience, with application to the HayWired scenario. Detweiler S.T. and Wein, A.M., eds, The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Engineering Implications. Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013–I–Q, Reston, VA: United States Geological Survey, ch. N., p. 195-264, https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20175013 and www.sparisk.com/pubs/HayWired-2018-vol2.pdf
    Citation
  • Performance of emergency-response services after the earthquake
    Scawthorn, C.R., K.A., Porter, and F.T. Blackburn, 1992. Performance of emergency-response services after the earthquake. In T.D. O’Rourke, ed., The Loma Prieta, California, Earthquake of October 17, 1989-Marina District. Strong Motion and Ground Failure. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1551-F. Reston VA, p. F195-F215. www.sparisk.com/pubs/Scawthorn-1992-LP89-Emergency-services-Marina.pdf
    Citation
  • Performance of water supply pipelines in liquefied soil
    Porter, K.A. C. Scawthorn, D.G. Honegger, T.D. O’Rourke, and F. Blackburn, 1992. Performance of water supply pipelines in liquefied soil. Proceedings of the 4th US-Japan Workshop on Earthquake Disaster Prevention for Lifeline Systems, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 08/19-21/91; pp. 3-17. 1992. http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-1992-water-pipe-liquefied-soil.pdf
    Citation
  • Utility performance aspects, liquefaction study, Marina and Sullivan Marsh areas, San Francisco California
    Scawthorn, C., K. Porter, M. Khater, D. Seidel, D. Ballantyne, H.T. Taylor, R.D. Darragh, and C. Ng, 1992. Utility performance aspects, liquefaction study, Marina and Sullivan Marsh areas, San Francisco California. National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, Proceedings from the 4th Japan-U.S. Workshop on Earthquake Resistant Design of Lifeline Facilities and Countermeasures for Soil Liquefaction: Tokai University Pacific Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, May 27-29, 1992. Vol. 1., 1992,  317-333. http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Scawthorn-1992-SF-Liquefaction-Study.pdf
    Citation

Disaster planning scenarios: ShakeOut, ARkStorm, SAFRR Tsunami, and HayWired Scenario

  • Overview of the HayWired scenario engineering-implications volume
    Porter, K.A. (2018). Overview of the HayWired scenario engineering-implications volume. Detweiler, S.T. and Wein, A.M., eds., The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Engineering Implications. Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013–I–Q, Reston, VA: United States Geological Survey, ch. I, p. 2-11, https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20175013 and www.sparisk.com/pubs/HayWired-2018-vol2.pdf
    Citation
  • The HayWired scenario—how can the San Francisco Bay region bounce back from or avert an earthquake disaster in an interconnected world?
    Hudnut, K.W., Wein, A.M., Cox, D.A., Perry, S.C., Porter, K.A., Johnson, L.A., and Strauss, J.A. (2017). The HayWired scenario—how can the San Francisco Bay region bounce back from or avert an earthquake disaster in an interconnected world? In Detweiler S.T. and Wein, A.M., eds., The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Earthquake Hazards. Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013–A–H, Reston, VA: United State Geological Survey, ch A., p. 1-16, https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20175013 and www.sparisk.com/pubs/HayWired-2017-vol1.pdf
    Citation
  • HayWired scenario mainshock ground motions
    Aagaard, B.T., Boatwright, J.L., Jones, J.L., MacDonald, T.G., Porter, K.A., and Wein, A.M. (2017). HayWired scenario mainshock ground motions. In Detweiler S.T. and Wein, A.M., eds., The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Earthquake Hazards. Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013–A–H, Reston, VA: United State Geological Survey, ch C., p. 27-36, https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20175013 and www.sparisk.com/pubs/HayWired-2017-vol1.pdf
    Citation
  • HayWired Scenario Aftershock Sequence
    Wein, A.M., Felzer, K.R., Jones, J.L., and Porter, K.A. (2017). HayWired Scenario Aftershock Sequence. In Detweiler S.T. and Wein, A.M., eds., The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Earthquake Hazards. Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013–A–H, Reston, VA: United State Geological Survey, ch G., p. 91-112, https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20175013 and www.sparisk.com/pubs/HayWired-2017-vol1.pdf
    Citation
  • Water supply damage, recovery, and lifeline interaction in an earthquake sequence
    Porter, K., S. Terentieff, R. McMullin, and X. Irias, 2017. Water supply damage, recovery, and lifeline interaction in an earthquake sequence. Proc. First Congress on Technical Advancement, September 10-13, 2017, Duluth, Minnesota. Reston Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineers. 12 p. http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-2017-ASCE-CUWNet.pdf
    Citation
  • Engineering and economic lessons of the SAFRR Tsunami Scenario
    Porter, K.A., and A.M. Wein, 2014. Engineering and economic lessons of the SAFRR Tsunami Scenario. Proceedings of the 10th National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, 21-25 July 2014, Anchorage AK http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-Wein-2014-10NCEE-tsunami-scenario.pdf
    Citation
  • Advances in tsunami risk assessment
    Porter, K.A., and A.M. Wein, 2014. Advances in tsunami risk assessment. SSA 2014, 2 May 2014, Anchorage AK http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-Wein-2014-SSA2014-tsunami-scenario.pdf
    Citation
  • The SAFRR Tsunami Scenario, a Presentation to NORTHCOM Joint Interagency Coordination Group
    Porter, K., 2014. The SAFRR Tsunami Scenario, a Presentation to NORTHCOM Joint Interagency Coordination Group, 25 Feb 2014, Colorado Springs CO. http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-25-Feb-2014-SAFRR-Northcom.pdf
    Citation
  • The SAFRR tsunami scenario—physical damage in California
    Porter, K., W. Byers, D. Dykstra, A. Lim, P. Lynett, J. Ratliff, C. Scawthorn, A. Wein, and R. Wilson, 2013. The SAFRR tsunami scenario—physical damage in California. S. Ross and L. Jones, Eds, The SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) Tsunami Scenario. US Geological Survey. http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2013/1170/
    Citation
  • The SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) tsunami scenario—executive summary and Introduction
    Ross, S.L., L.M. Jones, K. Miller, K.A. Porter, A. Wein, R.I. Wilson, B. Bahng, A. Barberopoulou, J.C. Borrero, D.M. Brosnan, J.T. Bwarie, E.L. Geist, L.A. Johnson, S.H. Kirby, W.R. Knight, K. Long, P. Lynett, C.E. Mortensen, D.J. Nicolsky, S.C. Perry, G.S. Plumlee, C.R. Real, K. Ryan, E. Suleimani, H.K. Thio, V.V. Titov, P.M. Whitmore, and N.J. Wood, 2013. The SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) tsunami scenario—executive summary and Introduction. S. Ross and L. Jones, Eds, The SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) Tsunami Scenario. US Geological Survey. http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2013/1170/
    Citation
  • The SAFRR tsunami scenario—Improving resilience for California
    Ross, S.L., Jones, L.M., Miller, K., Porter, K.A., Wein, A., Wilson, R.I., Bahng, B., Barberopoulou, A., Borrero, J.C., Brosnan, D.M., Bwarie, J.T., Geist, E.L., Johnson, L.A., Kirby, S.H., Knight, W.R., Long, K., Lynett, P., Mortensen, C.E., Nicolsky, D.J., Perry, S.C., Plumlee, G.S., Real, C.R., Ryan, K., Suleimani, E., Thio, H., Titov, V.V., Whitmore, P.M., and Wood, N.J., 2013, The SAFRR tsunami scenario—Improving resilience for California: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2013–3081, 4 p., http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2013/3081/
    Citation
  • The SAFRR Tsunami Scenario
    Porter, K., L Jones, S Ross, J Borrero, J Bwarie, D Dykstra, EL Geist, L Johnson, S Kirby, K Long, P Lynett, K Miller, C Mortensen, S Perry, G Plumlee, C Real, L Ritchie, C Scawthorn, HK Thio, A Wein, P Whitmore, R Wilson, and N Wood, 2013. The SAFRR Tsunami Scenario. Proc., PORTS ’13, August 25-28, Seattle WA. manuscript: http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-2013-COPRI-Tsunami-MS.pdf, conference presentation: http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-2013-COPRI-Tsunami-presentation.pdf
    Citation
  • Overview of the ARkStorm Scenario
    Porter, K., A. Wein, C. Alpers, A. Baez, P. Barnard, J. Carter, A. Corsi, J. Costner, D. Cox, T. Das, M. Dettinger, J. Done, C. Eadie, M. Eymann, J. Ferris, P. Gunturi, M. Hughes, R. Jarrett, L. Johnson, H.D. Le-Griffin, D. Mitchell, S. Morman, P. Neiman, A. Olsen, S. Perry, G. Plumlee, M. Ralph, D. Reynolds, A. Rose, K. Schaefer, J. Serakos, W. Siembieda, J. Stock, D. Strong, I.S. Wing, A. Tang, P. Thomas, and K. Topping, 2010. Overview of the ARkStorm Scenario. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2010-1312, 183 pp. and appendices, http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-2010-ARkStorm.pdf
    Citation
  • Foreword. Earthquake Spectra
    Porter, K., K. Hudnut, S. Perry, M. Reichle, C. Scawthorn, and A. Wein, 2011. Foreword. Earthquake Spectra 27 (2), 235-237. http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-2011-ShakeOut-Foreword.pdf
    Citation
  • The ShakeOut Scenario: a hypothetical Mw7.8 earthquake on the southern San Andreas Fault
    Porter, K., L. Jones, D. Cox, J. Goltz, K. Hudnut, D. Mileti, S. Perry, D. Ponti, M. Reichle, A.Z. Rose, C.R. Scawthorn, H.A. Seligson, K.I. Shoaf, J. Treiman, and A. Wein, 2011. The ShakeOut Scenario: a hypothetical Mw7.8 earthquake on the southern San Andreas Fault. Earthquake Spectra 27 (2), 239-261, http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-2011-ShakeOut-Overview.pdf.
    Citation
  • Utility performance panels in the ShakeOut Scenario
    Porter, K.A., and R. Sherrill, 2011. Utility performance panels in the ShakeOut Scenario. Earthquake Spectra 27 (2), 443-458, http://www.sparisk.com/pubs/Porter-2011-ShakeOut-Panels.pdf
    Citation
  • The ShakeOut Scenario, A Hypothetical M7.8 Southern San Andreas Fault Earthquake
    Porter, K.A., 2008. The ShakeOut Scenario, A Hypothetical M7.8 Southern San Andreas Fault Earthquake. Structure Magazine, Dec 2008, 16-19. http://www.structuremag.org/article.aspx?articleID=812
    Citation
  • The ShakeOut Scenario. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report
    Jones, L.M., R. Bernknopf, D. Cox, J. Goltz, K. Hudnut, D. Mileti, S. Perry, D. Ponti, K. Porter, M. Reichle, H. Seligson, K. Shoaf, J. Treiman, and A. Wein, 2008. The ShakeOut Scenario. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2008-1150 and California Geological Survey Preliminary Report 25, http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2008/1150/
    Citation
  • The Plan to Coordinate Nehrp Post-Earthquake Investigations
    USGS. (2003). “The Plan to Coordinate Nehrp Post-Earthquake Investigations,.” USGS Circular 1242, Thomas L. Holzer (Chair), Roger D. Borcherdt, Craig D. Comartin, Robert D. Hanson, Charles R. Scawthorn, Kathleen Tierney, T. Leslie Youd,, ed., prepared in coordination with the Federal Emergency Management Agency, National Science Foundation, and National Institute of Standards and Technology, USGS Western Region, Menlo Park CA.  http://pubs.usgs.gov/circ/1242/
    Citation
  • Coordinating Nehrp Post-Earthquake Investigations – Exercising the Plan
    Holzer, T. L., Scawthorn, C., and Rojahn, C. (2005). “Coordinating Nehrp Post-Earthquake Investigations – Exercising the Plan.” Earthquake Spectra, 21(4), 1043-1062.  Earthquake Spectra 2005
    Citation
  • Development and Facilitation of Tabletop Exercises in Support of the Plan to Coordinate Nehrp Post-Earthquake Investigations, Final Report
    Scawthorn, C., 2004. Development and Facilitation of Tabletop Exercises in Support of the Plan to Coordinate Nehrp Post-Earthquake Investigations, Final Report. C. Scawthorn Assoc., prepared for the U.S. Geological Survey and the Applied Technology Council, Berkeley, 62 pp.  ATC-35 NEHRP Exercises Final Report
    Citation

Hurricanes, atmospheric rivers, and wind hazard

Casualty loss estimation

Acceptable risk

Real-time loss estimation

Other topics

Field data collection and learning from earthquakes

Video Presentations

  • Open-source risk vs. Proprietary risk models, a talk presented by Charles Scawthorn as part of a Distance Learning Seminar Series on Disaster Risk Management in East Asia and the Pacific, sponsored by the World Bank.  Dr. Scawthorn spoke in favor of Open Source Risk Models to an audience at many places around the world, including  Indonesia (Jakarta), Lao PDR (Vientiane), Thailand (Bangkok), Vietnam (Hanoi), Cambodia (Phnom Penh), China (Beijing), Mongolia (Ulaanbaatar), Philippines (Manila), Singapore (Singapore), Japan (Tokyo) and Fiji (Suva). 
  • ARkStorm, the Other Big One, a talk presented by Keith Porter to the Engineers’ Forum, a seminar series sponsored by the East Bay Municipal Utilities District. Dr. Porter gave an overview of an emergency planning scenario describing a hypothetical but realistic severe winter storm in California, and its impacts on the state’s infrastructure, population, and economy.

 .. 

Academic Lectures